全球水貂产量下降，市场调节带来行业新生机

The global production of mink is adapting to the market. Especially in China, the production has dropped drastically.

当前，全球水貂产量正在进行市场调节，中国的产量下降尤为显著。

From approx. 72 million mink in 2015 to around 54 million now. That is the estimated level of the world production of mink. The estimate is made by Kopenhagen Fur and is based on, among other things, the number of breeding animals and the amount of feed supplied by feed kitchens around the world. However, because there is some uncertainty associated with the counting of breeding animals in different parts of the world, the count should be seen with reservations.

根据哥本哈根皮草对世界范围内的种貂和饲料数量进行统计，全球水貂养殖数量从2015年的大约7200万只减少至目前的5400万只，然而，由于不同地区在统计种貂方面存在一定不确定因素，因此对这一数字应当持有保留意见。

Global decline

全球减产

In Denmark, the Danish mink breeders produced approx. 18,6 million mink last year. Now, the Danish production is at 17,1 million. This number is based on an approx. 7 percent decline in the count of breeding animals. In week 25, the number of kits born this season will be reported, which may influence the Danish production figures. In the remaining Nordic countries, the production has declined by 500.000 - from 4 million to 3.5 million.

去年丹麦的水貂产量约为1860万只，如今的产量大约为1710万只，这一数字是根据种貂数量减少约7%得来的。在第25周的时候，今年的幼崽数量就会得到统计，这将可能影响丹麦的产量。在其他北欧国家里，水貂数量从400万只下滑至350只，减少了50万只。

A year ago, the total production in Eastern Europe was approx. 16 million and it is estimated that it has now declined to just under 14 million. In Western Europe, an approximate production figure of 7 million last year is now at around 5.2 million. Holland accounts for the largest decline in production. In North America, the production has gone from around 7,5 million mink to just under 6 million.

一年前，东欧国家的水貂总产量约为1600万只，当前预计已经减少至1400万只以下。去年，西欧国家的水貂产量约为700万只，如今大约为520万只，其中尤以荷兰的产量下降最为显著。在北美地区，水貂产量由大约750万只下降到600万只以下。

Considerable production drop in China

中国大幅减产

The greatest drop in production figures has happened in China. Here, mink breeders produced approx. 18 million mink last year. That production is now at approx. 8 million. The production of mink was at its highest in 2013. The worldwide production was over 87 million mink, of which China produced 40 million.

水貂产量减少最多的当属中国，从去年大约1800万只下降到当前的800万只左右。中国的水貂产量在2013年达到高峰，当年世界水貂总产量约为8700多万只，其中中国就占了4000万张。

哥本哈根皮草2016年6月拍卖会刚刚结束，期间供应了约700万张貂皮，有近600位来自世界各地的买家参与了此次拍卖。拍卖现场各类水貂销售火爆，销售率接近百分之百。6月22日的拍卖会上，金夫人皮草的潘志军先生以600美元（约合4000丹麦克朗）的单价购买了蓝宝石天鹅绒母皮金牌皮，不得不说是振奋人心的好消息。

此前毛皮行业整体发展经历了较长的低迷时期，但国内企业有必要经历去产能化过剩的过程以及这个阵痛期，而这个时期的快与慢，一方面取决于行业本身的承受力，另一方面取决于随市场需求的波动，行业从业者是否能够根据趋势变化作出相应调整很关键。相信如果绝大部分皮草厂家能够紧跟市场需求的变化不断进行调整，就能很快度过这段时期。